How do you create a one-page budget that you actually use?

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The notebook and morning coffee: the one-page small business budget

A useful budget for a small business isn't a file full of tables; it's a one-page document with four lines. Expected revenues, fixed costs, variable costs, and the target profit. You build it once a year, break it down by month, and then each month compare the plan to reality. That's all it takes so decisions are no longer made on guesswork.

The four rows and their order

Start with the last line: the target profit. This is the logic of Profit First—profit comes first, not what's left over. Then enter your expected revenues, carefully and without excessive optimism. The best basis is last year, month by month, with its own seasonality, plus the growth you have real reason to expect. The third line is fixed costs: rent, payroll with contributions, utilities, accounting—those things that get paid even without any sales. The fourth line is variable costs: goods, raw materials, commissions—things that move with sales and are therefore recorded as a percentage of them, not as a fixed amount. If after the four lines the target profit doesn't come out, the budget has just done you its greatest service. It showed you in January that something needs to be changed—prices, costs, or volume—not in December when it's too late.

A calculated example

A bar-restaurant with 8 employees plans the year. Expected revenues of 1,800,000 LEK per month on average, with July and August strongest and January weakest. Fixed costs, 600,000 LEK per month. Variable costs are 40% of sales, so on average 720,000 LEK. From 1,800,000 LEK, subtract 600,000 and 720,000, leaving 480,000 LEK per month in profit before tax. The owner had targeted a profit of 500,000 LEK. The 20,000 LEK per month shortfall isn't closed by hope but by action chosen now. She calculates that a modest increase in drink prices will raise the margin by about one percentage point. At the end of each month, she places the actual figures next to the plan. February brought LEK 1,650,000 in sales versus the planned LEK 1,700,000 and variable costs of 42% instead of 40%. Two lines show exactly where to look: the new supplier turned out to be more expensive.

Single-page format at the Resource Center

At the Resource Center you'll find the one-page budget template with four rows, a 12-month breakdown, and a plan-vs.-actual column. Complete it for the first time with your economist within an hour, then update it yourself each month in 15 minutes.

For the specialist

The single-page budget is essentially a planned income statement with a contribution structure: revenues minus variable costs equal contribution margin, minus fixed costs equal the result. Professional value is added through two techniques. The first is the flexed budget, where variable costs are recalculated using actual sales before variance analysis, so that volume variance is not confused with efficiency variance. Second, splitting revenue variance into price effect and volume effect, which shows the owner whether the problem is with traffic or with price. For clients with strong seasonality, a 12-month rolling budget is recommended, where each completed month is replaced by a new planned month, instead of a calendar-year budget that expires in June. The link to the break-even point is direct; the fixed costs and contribution margin are the same figures in both calculations.

Frequently asked questions

My business is unpredictable. What's the point of a budget?

That's precisely where it adds the most value. A budget isn't a prophecy; it's a benchmark. When reality diverges from the plan, you immediately see how much and where, and you respond in the following month, not at the end of the year.

How far should the forecast go?

A year broken down into months is enough for a small business. More important than the distance is the regularity of the monthly plan-versus-actual comparison.

If you want us to build your one-page budget together using last year's actual figures, write to us at Contact page or see the packages at offer.

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AlProfit Consult builds a one-page budget for your business, compares it with your actual performance each month, and shows you where you deviate from the plan as part of your monthly subscription.

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